Overconfidence and Risk Taking in Foreign Policy Decision Making

Overconfidence and Risk Taking in Foreign Policy Decision Making

The Case of Turkey's Syria Policy

Demir, Imran

Springer International Publishing AG

04/2017

142

Dura

Inglês

9783319526041

15 a 20 dias

454

Descrição não disponível.
1. Introduction .- 2. The Relevant Literature on Past Outcomes, Overconfidence and Risk Taking .- 3. Modeling the Relationship between Past Outcomes, Overconfidence and Risk Taking .- 4. The Turkish Policy to Remove Syrian President Assad: Overconfidence Obscures Risks and Magnifies Failure .- 5. Why Turkish Overconfidence Was Too Obvious .- 6. Conclusion.
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Foreign Policy;Decision making;Overconfidence;Risk Taking;Turkish policy;Conflict in Syria;Cognitive theory;Prospect theory;Judgemental Heuristics;Uprising in Syria;Operationalization;Turkey;Middle East